Notes From SOAR

Our thinking on pre-IPO startups and private markets. Drop your email to get new posts.

June 18, 2026

How to Value a Startup: Methods, Multiples, and What Actually Moves the Number

Valuing a startup is one of the most contested conversations in private markets. This guide covers the methods investors actually use.

Ramsey Shallal
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June 17, 2026

Stop reinventing the bet. Fix the book.

Keep the binary contract. Rebuild the orderbook underneath it. An essay on capital efficiency, liquidity, and atomic execution for prediction markets.

John Tadeusiak
June 16, 2026

Best Prediction Market Platforms 2026: The Complete Guide

Prediction markets processed over $44 billion in total notional volume in 2025. This guide shows the 5 best prediction markets out there.

Ramsey Shallal
June 9, 2026

What Are Prediction Markets and How Do They Work?

A prediction market is where traders buy and sell contracts on the probability of a specific future outcome — with the price functioning as a real-time probability estimate set by the market. This article explores what they are and how well they predict outcomes.

Ramsey Shallal
June 9, 2026

SOAR: Goldrush

The US lost half its public companies while private capital grew 25x. The richest asset class in history has no front door — until now. Introducing SOAR.

Ramsey Shallal
June 8, 2026

What Is Implied Pricing? How Prediction Markets Value Private Companies in Real Time

Implied pricing is a real-time valuation derived from the collective probability estimates of traders across a set of prediction market contracts — not from a funding round or an investment bank. This article explains how it works, why it matters, and where it exists today.

Ramsey Shallal
June 5, 2026

Public Price Discovery for Private Markets

John Tadeusiak
June 5, 2026

How to Invest in Startups in 2026

A 2026 guide to investing in private companies, covering equity crowdfunding, angel networks, secondary markets, VC funds, tokenized equity, and synthetic positions via SOAR—plus how to choose the right route for your risk, liquidity needs, and accreditation status.

Ramsey Shallal
June 5, 2026

What Are Synthetic Assets? (And How They Apply to Private Company Investing)

Synthetic assets replicate the economic exposure of an underlying asset without requiring direct ownership. This article explains how synthetics work, why they exist, the main instrument types, and how prediction markets are opening synthetic access to private companies.

Ramsey Shallal
June 4, 2026

Markets We're Committed To Building

The price of every company at the frontier of technology is currently set by six investors in a room. SOAR is the first real attempt to make that price something public markets set instead.

John Tadeusiak
May 29, 2026

Sorry, the American Dream has been privatized.

We were sold the idea that public markets were a place of opportunity; where we could get a piece of the best America had to offer. The companies who’d take the world by storm. This is no longer true.

Tom Curry

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